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The Snooty Ushers’ Oscar Predictions: Best Original and Adapted Screenplay

The Snooty Ushers look into their crystal ball to predict the winners in the screenplay categories 


Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, children of all ages, The Snooty Ushers proudly present to you our 2017 Oscar predictions! We have already crowned our Best Film of 2016 (it can be found here) but we are not the only prestigious body giving out awards. This Sunday night is the 89th Academy Awards, but if you can’t wait for the Jimmy Kimmel hosted show, we have predicted the winners for you, right here!

Over the next few days we will predict the actor categories, then best director, before the best picture on Sunday itself, but for now, here are our predictions for…

Best Original Screenplay

And the nominations are…


  • Hell or High Water (Taylor Sheridan)
  • La La Land (Damien Chazelle)
  • The Lobster (Yorgos Lanthimos and Efthimis Filippou)
  • Manchester by the Sea (Kenneth Lonergen)
  • 20th Century Women (Mike Mills)

And our predictions are…

What I want to win: The Lobster. More than any film or person in any other category this year, I want to see this weird film get an Oscar win. It is one of my favourite films, and almost the highest praise I give to a film is that it would make a good Twilight Zone episode. This would make two good Twilight Zone episode. I wonder if it had a bigger campaign budget if it could have got more nominations? The fact that it has been on Netflix for over six months only adds to its strangeness!

What I think will win: Manchester By The Sea. I think La La Land will win big, but I  think as a script Manchester by the Sea is a slightly more deserving winner. I’m glad Hell or High Water has been nominated, and I think 20th Century Women owes more to the performances that the writing, but this is one category La La Land won’t win, and it will go to Kenneth Lonergen, whose first film was Analyse This.

What I want to win: Hell or High water. I really want this to win something.

What I think will win: La La Land. Genuinely it is another toss up between this or Manchester by the Sea, but how could La La Land not win this?

What I want to win: Hell or High Water. I just loved this film and want it to come away with something.  This is it’s best chance

What I think will win: La La Land. Will be swept up by the La La Landslide…

What I want to win: Hell or High water

What I think will win: La La Land. This and best actress are the two this film is truly deserving of winning.

What I want to win: Hell or High Water. It’s a brilliant film that displays the true nature of this category

What I think will win: Manchester by the Sea. Casey Affleck carries this film and is an integral part of it’s inclusion in the Oscar’s.

Best Adapted Screenplay

And the nominations are…


  • Arrival (Eric Heisserer from “Story of your Life” by Ted Chiang)
  • Fences (August Wilson from “Fences” by August Wilson)
  • Hidden Figures (Allison Schroeder and Theodre Melfi from “Hidden Figures” by Margot Lee Shetterly)
  • Lion (Luke Davies from “A Long Way Home” by Saroo Brierley and Larry Buttrose)
  • Moonlight (Barry Jenkins and Tarell Alvin McCraney from “In Moonlight Black Boys Look Blue” by Tarell Alvin McCraney )

And our predictions are…

What I want to win: Arrival. Apart from that one slightly contrived conversation with the Chinese politician, this was a masterful script, and a piece of great sci-fi, that took an “alien invasion” and made it about so much more. Eric Heisserer also wrote last years Lights Out (click for my review) so his career is on an upswing, but without much “serious” work behind him, a win is unlikely.

What I think will win: MoonlightAugust Wilson’s plays are held in very high regard, but I see Moonlight just pipping Fences. It has a lot of nominations (eight) but I think it will be come up short in most categories, apart from this one. Fences will probably win one of the later categories (stay tuned to find out which one!), but not here. It’s certainly a good year for Adapted Screenplays.

What I want to win: I’d like to see Lion or Moonlight get the nod here.

What I think will win: I’d be very surprised if anything other than Fences walks away with this.

What I want to win: Not really bothered either way here.

What I think will win: Fences seems the obvious choice

What I want to win: Fences

What I think will win: Can’t answer this fairly as I haven’t seen Lion yet. 

What I want to win: Arrival. An alien invasion type film squeezing it’s way into a busy Oscar’s list? Sign me up for that. A unique take on the genre and some excellent acting make this one of my favourites.

What I think will win: Fences. Denzel looks to be on top form here with a heap load of blood sweat and tears put into the film, as James said this could struggle in other categories but it definitely shines in adapted screenplay.

We’ll be back tomorrow with our Supporting Actor and Actress predictions. Let us know what you think we’ve got right, what we’ve got wrong, and who you think will take home the golden statues on Sunday night.

Until next time, stay gold Ponyboy, stay gold. See you soonish.


About James is Outta Bubblegum

Favourite Film: This Is Spinal Tap (1984)


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